Research

For real-time, large-ensemble tropical cyclone forecasts, see tcs.mit.edu.

For the publicly available tropical cyclone downscaling model, see here.

In Prep.

Lin J., Lee C. Y., Sobel A. What is the practical predictability of point-wise tropical cyclone wind speed?

In Review.

Lin J., Lee C. Y., Camargo S. J., Sobel A. Poleward migration of the latitude of maximum tropical cyclone intensity – forced or natural?. In review.

Publications

Lin J. and Emanuel K. (2024). Why the lower stratosphere cools when the troposphere warms. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Lin J. and Emanuel K. (2024). Tropospheric thermal forcing of the stratosphere through quasi-balanced dynamics. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences.

Lin J., Rousseau-Rizzi R., Lee C. Y., Sobel A. (2023). An Open-Source, Physics-Based, Tropical Cyclone Downscaling Model with Intensity-Dependent Steering. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15:e2023MS003686.

Garcia-Franco., Gray L., Osprey S., Chadwick R., Lin J. (2023). Understanding the mechanisms for tropical surface impacts of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(515):e2023JD038474.

Lin J., and Emanuel K. (2023). Stratospheric Modulation of the MJO through Cirrus Cloud Feedbacks. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 83(1):273-299.

Lin J., and Emanuel K. (2022). On the Effect of Surface Friction and Upward Radiation of Energy on Equatorial Waves. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 79(3):837-857.

Lin J., and Emanuel K., & Vigh J. (2020). Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-Ensemble Outputs. Weather and Forecasting, 35(5):1713-31.

Rodgers K., Lin J., & Frölicher TL. (2015). Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth system model. Biogeosciences, 12(11), 3301-3320.